Tomorrow! Tomorrow is Oscar night!
I must admit, this has been the most invigorating race in a while - GOOD nominees and tough competition. There are a couple of categories where the contenders are almost neck-and-neck. However, I realize that I always say this and a lot of times, as much as I love Oscar, he can be boring and predictable.
So, here are my predictions:
Best Picture
Will win: No Country For Old Men
Should win: No Country For Old Men
Dark horse: I have to say - there isn't a real dark horse in this face; considering the momentum it has (not to mention precursor awards), BP will more than likely go to No Country For Old Men. If I had to name another film, it would be There Will Be Blood.
Best Director
Will win: The Coen Brothers, No Country For Old Men; quite honestly, I'm a little antsy about this prediction. The Academy doesn't tend to give the statuette to a pair - just one. But their work has been so talked about this year, it's hard not to call it in their favour.
Should win: Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and The Butterfly. Beautiful and inventive work. For thinking outside the box of traditional storytelling, I SO want him to win this.
Dark horse: Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and The Butterfly. Yes, seriously. If the Academy sticks by wanting to award a single director, Schnabel's got a shot. His film got a lot of late buzz - not enough to catch a nomination in the Best Picture category, so they may reward him here.
Best Actor
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood.
Should win: I won't mind if Daniel Day-Lewis won; also wouldn't mind seeing Viggo Mortensen take the little guy home.
Dark horse: Many critics are predicting one actor and one actor alone - without even a hint of a dark horse - and that would be the same one I listed. Even George Clooney's already conceded defeat to him. 'Nuff said.
Best Actress
Will win: Julie Christie, Away From Her.
Should win: Julie Christie, Away From Her. Sorry to Cotillard and Page fans, but Christie's a legend - and rightfully so.
Dark horse: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose. She and Christie have been running very close races; both have won Golden Globes and other various precursors. However, the handicap here is that her role was in French, and the Academy tends to be biased towards English-speaking characters. Who knows? Maybe she'll pull off a Roberto Benigni.
Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Javier Bardem, No Country For Old Men.
Should win: Javier Bardem, No Country For Old Men. "Friendo." Chilling! A screen villain for the books and a performance most definitely worthy of Oscar.
Dark horse: Bardem's been blowing through the competition like nothing else. It would be a total surprise to see anyone else win. However distant, though, I would call Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford) the dark horse in this competition.
Best Supporting Actress
Let me just say that this category is agonizing for me. Because one of my favourite actresses/acting HEROES has NEVER been nominated before and... I want her to win like nothing else. So, I've been waffling on who I think will win, because it keeps getting clouded over with who I think SHOULD win. Wishful thinking to the extreme.
Will/Should win, Dark horse (because I can't see straight on this, I'm blending it all together): It's a tight race between Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There), Ruby Dee (American Gangster) and, of course, my dear Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton). Blanchett has Academy love, but was nominated in two categories this year - meaning she may split her votes.
For those who've seen it, in her final scene in the movie, Ruby Dee packed a GUT PUNCH. "She will leave you. I... will leave you." Yowza. She was one of the few gems in a fairly mundane film.
And then there's my dear Tilda. Her BAFTA win was a (pleasant) surprise, but it might be a little too late. However, I'm hoping that the strength of her performance and her reputation as a true artist will carry her through.
I'm calling Best Supporting Actress in favour of Tilda Swinton.
Best Animated Feature
Will win: Ratatouille. It's everything Oscar wants to see in this category. Light and fun. And Pixar is just an unstoppable force in the world of animation (next to Hayao Miyazaki, of course).
Should win: Persepolis. I saw it and sort of fell in love with its the characters (the grandmother in particular) and its humour, despite the protagonist's circumstances.
Dark horse: Persepolis.
Tomorrow night, we'll see how it all turned out.