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[Jan. 1st, 2025|11:59 pm] |
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[Jan. 11th, 2023|12:46 am] |
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[Oct. 6th, 2008|10:58 pm] |
В последний месяц перед выборами политически активные граждане становятся клиническими идиотами. Хуже футбольных болельщиков, ей-богу. Те хоть не знают, как закончится игра, потому и переживают. А в нашей политике уже все ясно: Обама победит со счетом 1:0. Чего горло драть? Ну, ладно, гражданам Америки вроде положено. Но почему израильтянин ![[info]](http://p-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif) avva в журнале россиянина arbat пафосно изобличает в политической лжи случайных прохожих для меня остается загадкой. Такой же загадкой, как и мое собственное участие в спорах о войне между Грузией и Россией. |
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| хайку. Кобаяши Исса. Kobayashi Issa 1808 |
[Oct. 6th, 2008|10:51 pm] |
秋風や仏に近き年の程
aki kaze ya hotoke ni chikaki toshi no hodo
autumn wind--
death draws closer
with every year
translated by David Lanoue
осенний ветер -
с каждым годом
все ближе смерть
* В дневнике перед этим хайку Исса написал: "33-я годовщина смерти бабушки."
** Мать Иссы умерла, когда ему было три года. После смерти матери он жил у бабушки. Она умерла в 1776-м году - Иссе было четырнадцать лет. |
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| economy and elections |
[Oct. 6th, 2008|05:03 pm] |
For those of you who would like to elect a savior:
...there's very little evidence that presidents (or the government more generally) have much impact on the current state of the economy. They can influence long-term performance, but in the short term, the US economy, and others, go through periodic ups and downs that we call business cycles. That was true 200 years ago and remains true today. There's some debate about where business cycles come from, but the president's actions are rarely on the list.
http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2008/10/predicting-election-outcomes.html |
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[Oct. 5th, 2008|11:17 pm] |
...in waking from dreamless sleep or even from a dream we are always certain we are the same person who went to sleep. There is a continuity of identity that remains constant through all states of consciousness, however weird or extreme. We may not know exactly who or what we are but we never think we have become someone else. James P. Carse. Breakfast At The Victory. p. 93.
I never thought about it this way. It is even hard to express what this "it" is. A part of me that knows better who I am than I myself. |
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| 2008 Ig Nobel Prize winner in Medicine |
[Oct. 5th, 2008|08:36 pm] |
An expensive placebo relieves pain better than a cheap one :) Long live branded medications!
Rebecca L. Waber; Baba Shiv; Ziv Carmon; et al. JAMA. 2008;299(9):1016-1017 (doi:10.1001/jama.299.9.1016) |
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| хайку. Кобаяши Исса. Kobayashi Issa 1813 |
[Oct. 5th, 2008|05:16 pm] |
するがぢは蝶も見るらん不二の夢
surugaji wa chô mo miruran fuji no yume
Suruga Road--
even the butterflies dream
about Mount Fuji
translated by David Lanoue
дорога в Суруга --
даже бабочкам снится
Фудзи
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| good night |
[Oct. 3rd, 2008|11:49 pm] |
A brother offended is harder to be won than a strong city; and their contentions are like the bars of a castle.Proverbs, 18:19. |
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[Oct. 3rd, 2008|03:05 pm] |
Using functional and symbolic design features for Polynesian canoes, we show that natural selection apparently slows the evolution of functional structures, whereas symbolic designs differentiate more rapidly. This finding indicates that cultural change, like genetic evolution, can follow theoretically derived patterns. Deborah S. Rogers and Paul R. Ehrlich (2008). Natural selection and cultural rates of change, PNAS.
http://www.pnas.org/content/105/9/3416.abstract
related:
- functionality vs culture
- the signaling theory
- fashion, customization
- dual-pace evolution
- environment transformation
- evolution patterns |
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| хайку. Кобаяши Исса. Kobayashi Issa 1821 |
[Oct. 3rd, 2008|12:06 pm] |
朝やけに染るでもなし露の玉
asayake ni someru demo nashi tsuyu no tama
dawn's glow
hasn't quite yet dyed
the dewdrops
translated by David Lanoue
заря
еще чуть-чуть и раскрасит
капли тумана
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| Метафора в хайку |
[Oct. 1st, 2008|10:51 am] |
Обнаружил у Иссы вот такое хайку:
浮島やうごきながらの蝉時雨
uki-jima ya ugoki nagara no semi shigure
Давид Лану пишет, что выражение semi shigure буквально означает "цикадный дождь", а Сакуо Накамуро объясняет подробнее: цкады поют, как ливень ( cicadas sing like heavy rain falling).
http://haikuguy.com/issa/haiku.php?code=381.20a |
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| Rat hunt update |
[Oct. 1st, 2008|10:16 am] |
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Крыса попалась!!! |
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[Sep. 30th, 2008|05:33 pm] |
1. The Fed will keep pumping money into the banks;
2. For a while, the banks will be reluctant to lend the money, because of risk uncertainty.
3. Then, the banks will decide that the risks are manageable.
4. And they will flood the economy with cheap money.
5. The question: How will the Fed be able to remove the excess of money?
a) by selling bonds. hm. but why would banks buy the bonds if commercial paper were to offer a better rate?
b) by raising interest rates. but if the economy is in recession it, the fed action, will make the situation even worse.
Therefore, step 5 has to happen between steps 2 and 3. Otherwise we'll have a runaway inflation.
It could be that the so-called bailout, if it comes between steps 1 and 3, would allow the Fed to control the (money pump)-to-(market fear) ratio. But to succeed they would have to walk a very tight rope.
My bet would be that they'd rather err on the side of inflation, rather than recession.
In the meantime, we've lost at least a year's worth of investment into the real economy. This means the recession/stagnation, in real terms, will last another year or two.
Am I missing something? |
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| хайку. Кобаяши Исса. Kobayashi Issa 1821 |
[Sep. 30th, 2008|04:19 pm] |
often, but unfortunately not always, when i see a yet another monstrous stupidity posted in lj, i bring to my mind the "duty calls" strip from xkcd ( http://xkcd.com/386/); take a few measured breaths through my nose ( imagine that you are a guard at the gate of an oriental city, and every breath is like a caravan slowly entering and leaving the gate), and translate a haiku.
春めくやのらはのらとて藪虱
harumeku ya nora wa nora tote yabu-jirami
it's springtime!
even the thicket's lice
move into the field
translated by David Lanoue
весна!
даже лесная вошь
выходит в поле
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[Sep. 29th, 2008|12:58 pm] |
bought xlf
update 10/1/08: sold xlf. |
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