Все в Космос! ([info]vsevcosmos) wrote,
@ 2005-02-04 15:41:00
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Scale Invariance in Global Terrorism. [physics/0502014]

Scale Invariance in Global Terrorism. [physics/0502014]

Authors: Aaron Clauset, Maxwell Young

Traditional analysis of international terrorism, now an endemic feature of the modern era, has not sought to explain the emergence of rare but extremely severe events. Using the tools of extremal statistics, we analyze terrorist attacks worldwide between 1968 and 2004, as compiled in the National Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism (MIPT) database. We find that international terrorism exhibits a "scale-free" behavior with an exponent close to two. We conjecture that such power-law behavior is an extension of the still unexplained scale invariance between the frequency and intensity of wars. Finally, we briefly consider the reasons why such scaling may exist and its implications for counter-terrorism policy.


read more at physics updates on arXiv.org



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