| Playing the Iraq Oil Card |
[May. 10th, 2008|07:07 pm] |
taken from;
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1738883,00.html
If anyone had any doubt that Iraq was a lot about oil, they shouldn't after the recent Capitol Hill appearance by our ambassador to Baghdad, Ryan Crocker. In a closed House hearing, Crocker put the fear of god in Congress. His message: If we leave Iraq, Iraq will destabilize the Gulf, and a destabilized Gulf equals unstable oil prices.
With oil bumping pushing past $120 a barrel, you can bet you could hear a pin drop in the room. But what exactly was he talking about? Iraqi Shi'a militias invading Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, burning their oil fields, driving the price of gasoline up to $10 a gallon and us into a depression? Crocker wouldn't elaborate on his vague warnings, preferring to leave it at a sense of dread.
There was a time when we could count on Saudi Arabia to make up a shortfall in oil when something like Iraq came up. During the Gulf war Saudi Arabia boosted its production by 3.1 million barrels a day to make up for the 5.1 million barrels a day of Kuwaiti and Iraqi production that was taken off markets. Oil prices rose relatively little.
Today, Saudi Arabia either refuses or can't increase its production. The peak oil Cassandras are convinced the Saudis can't. Saudi Arabia's mega fields like Ghawar are depleted, they say. And we'd better get used to gasoline at $4 a gallon and up.
But Crocker wasn't all bad news. He said that if we were to stabilize Iraq, and attract investors to the oil sector, Iraq could become the largest producer in the world, surpassing Saudi Arabia. Crocker didn't put it in terms this baldly, but he might as well have said: We keep an army in Iraq, and we go back to the days of cheap oil. Anyone can afford to drive an SUV if they want one.
Crocker assured Congress that we are making progress. The Iraqi government retook the port of Basra that week, Iraq's main export terminal. And now that the government is in full control of Iraq's oil infrastructure things will get better.
What Crocker didn't talk about was Iran — and its plans for Iraq's oil. Months before retaking Basra, the Iraqi government started talks with Iran about running an oil pipeline to Abadan, Iran's main export terminal. Iran also has said that it will have a say in Iraq's mega field Majnun, which may contain 30 billion barrels of oil — a rival to Saudi Arabia's larger field. I suspect, though, if he'd been asked about Iran, Crocker would have said it is simply one more reason we should stay in Iraq, to keep Iran at bay.
Crocker could be right. We have no idea what is on the mind of the populist Shi'ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr . If Sadr were allowed control of the Basra oil terminal would he shut down Iraq's oil exports? Shell Kuwait fields?
Nobody really knows, which is just what the Bush administration is counting on. They got us into this mess in the first place by preying on people's fears, and now they are continuing to do so. And $10 a gallon for gasoline is his equivalent of an economic WMD.
by Robert Baer.
"We have no idea what is on the mind of the populist Shi'ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr"
Have you ever noticed on the mainstream news channels how they always refer to him as the 'radical' cleric Moqtada al-sadr? How much obvious propoganda do they want to shove down our throats.
Looks like Lewis will be doing a couple more tours in Iraq then. |
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| Funny |
[May. 4th, 2008|05:23 pm] |
A man walks into his bedroom with a sheep under his arm and says: "Darling, this is the pig I have sex with when you have a headache."
His girlfriend is lying in bed and replies: "I think you'll find that's a sheep, you idiot."
The man says: "I think you'll find I wasn't talking to you." |
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| The Export Land Model of Rice and Things to Come. |
[May. 4th, 2008|10:25 am] |
Already this week, we are getting a glimpse of things to come. We learnt that in 2007, more rice was produced worldwide than in any previous year, and yet, there is suddenly a shortage. The present shortage of rice occurred because the increase in production no longer matches the increase in population. The lack of available rice on the world markets had to be counteracted by moving rice out of the national reserves and putting it on the market, thereby rapidly depleting the (relatively modest) reserves. As a consequence, the rice producing nations put export limitations in place to make sure that sufficient quantities of the staple remained in their own countries to feed their own population, which in turn led to a further decrease in the availability of rice in importing nations.
Clearly, the same pattern will occur with respect to the oil as soon as we fall off the plateau. Oil exporting nations will withhold a larger portion of their oil in order to satisfy the needs of their own industries and people. Consequently, the decline in the international oil trade will be steeper than the decline of oil production alone.
We cannot know with certainty when the world will fall off the plateau, but it will happen within the next decade, most likely sometime around 2012 or 2013. Thereafter, we will be marching irrevocably down the rear end of the Hubbert curve. The result will be high unemployment coupled with a high inflation rate, social disruption, widespread famine, and a worldwide depression that will dwarf the ravages of the Great Depression of the 1930's.
Francois Cellier @ www.theoildrum.com |
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| Sjaakie de Slaakie |
[Apr. 25th, 2008|10:08 am] |
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Sjaakie is our new pet snail. He is the first snail I have seen here in 4 years and they are not the pests they are in England when it comes to eating your veg. he is quite big a looks like the snails the French eat. He quite likes andijvie to munch on. |
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| Family Update |
[Apr. 18th, 2008|07:28 pm] |
Nina is doing OK still. She had an eye infection for a while and sometimes her eyes would be stuck together in the mornings but we cured that with some cream. Dancing is still a favorite and she will bop to any rhymic noise. The other day she danced next to me for 5 minutes while I sawed some wood!
Sil is getting himself potty trained but sometimes is too lazy to run all the way to the toilet to find the pot. He has pissed in a baby bath of Nina's, a pull along trolley, a boot of his own and quite often in the dogs bowl. The other day while Amber was leaving to go to her Papas he stood at the door naked, grabbed his willy and aimed it out of the door to piss alll over the bridge. Amber was laughing hard at this but he then ran indoors, grabbed Nina's pillow from her high chair and dried himself off with it. This was all too much for Amber and while she cried with laughed peed her pants.
Amber has been doing better at school. She was sent to another class away from another girl who she was always with and things improved immediatly not just with her school work but also her attitude towards us. Unfortunatly the other girl who had given up going to school after she was seperated to another class is back although Amber says she is much better now.
Francien hasnt been up to much exciting as far as I can remember. I might come back and change this if i can think of something later.
I've been getting things ready for the garden. Tomatoes are on the big window sill but will be going out to the roof this weekend because the weather is set to improve now. I'm drinking a maple mead now. It doesnt taste much of maple, was expensive to make but very strong in alcohol. I have a dandelion mead and mint mead in first fermentation. Finding a job has been much more difficult here than I anticipated. You can never get a direct phone number for an interview in the jobcenter. you can only leave your info with them and hope someone phones you. Much of the work is through agencies who again are always pissing around. While explaining to the man in the jobcenter today that one of the cards for brickwork on the wall was an agency i had already signed with but they hadnt phoned me up I said;
"Ik snap het niet. Ik heb elf jaren verharing".
what I wanted to say was;
"I dont understand it. I have eleven years experience"
but Francien told me I said;
"I dont understand it. I have eleven years of hair loss"
I really dont know if he thought that had much to do with anything but we had a big laugh about it afterwards.
Must remember ervaring means experience. |
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| End of the World as We Know it. |
[Apr. 6th, 2008|08:48 pm] |
by Guy R. McPherson
Peak oil spells the end of civilization. And, if it's not already too late, perhaps it will prevent the extinction of our species.
M. King Hubbert, a petroleum geologist employed by Shell Oil Co., described peak oil in 1956. Production of crude oil, like the production of many non-renewable resources, follows a bell-shaped curve. The top of the curve is termed "peak oil," or "Hubbert's peak," and it represents the halfway point for production.
The bell-shaped curve applies at all levels, from field to country to planet. After discovery, production ramps up relatively quickly. But when the light, sweet crude on top of the field runs out, increased energy and expense are required to extract the underlying heavy, sour crude. At some point, the energy required to extract a barrel of oil exceeds the energy contained in barrel of oil, so the pumps shut down. advertisement
Most of the world's oil pumps are about to shut down.
We have sufficient supply to keep the world running for 30 years or so, at the current level of demand. But that's irrelevant because the days of inexpensive oil are behind us. And the American Empire absolutely demands cheap oil. Never mind the 3,000-mile Caesar salad to which we've become accustomed. Cheap oil forms the basis for the 12,000-mile supply chain underlying the "just-in-time" delivery of plastic toys from China.
There goes next year's iPod.
In 1956, Hubbert predicted the continental United States would peak in 1970. He was correct, and the 1970s gave us a small, temporary taste of the sociopolitical and economic consequences of expensive oil.
We passed the world oil peak in 2005, and we've been easing down the other side by acquiring oil at the point of a gun - actually, guns are the smallest of the many weapons we're using - paying more for oil and destroying one culture after another as the high price of crude oil forces supply disruptions and power outages in Third World countries.
The world peaked at 74.3 million barrels per day in May 2005. The two-year decline to 73.2 million barrels per day produced a doubling of the price of crude. Later this year, we fall off the oil-supply cliff, with global supply plummeting below 70 million barrels/day. Oil at merely $100 per barrel will seem like the good old days.
Within a decade, we'll be staring down the barrel of a crisis: Oil at $400 per barrel brings down the American Empire, the project of globalization and water coming through the taps. Never mind happy motoring through the never-ending suburbs in the Valley of the Sun. In a decade, unemployment will be approaching 100 percent, inflation will be running at 1,000 percent and central heating will be a pipe dream.
In short, this country will be well on its way to the post-industrial Stone Age.
After all, no alternative energy sources scale up to the level of a few million people, much less the 6.5 billion who currently occupy Earth. Oil is necessary to extract and deliver coal and natural gas. Oil is needed to produce solar panels and wind turbines, and to maintain the electrical grid.
Ninety percent of the oil consumed in this country is burned by airplanes, ships, trains and automobiles. You can kiss goodbye groceries at the local big-box grocery store: Our entire system of food production and delivery depends on cheap oil.
If you're alive in a decade, it will be because you've figured out how to forage locally.
The death and suffering will be unimaginable. We have come to depend on cheap oil for the delivery of food, water, shelter and medicine. Most of us are incapable of supplying these four key elements of personal survival, so trouble lies ahead when we are forced to develop means of acquiring them that don't involve a quick trip to Wal-Mart.
On the other hand, the forthcoming cessation of economic growth is truly good news for the world's species and cultures. In addition, the abrupt halt of fossil-fuel consumption may slow the warming of our planetary home, thereby preventing our extinction at our own hand.
Our individual survival, and our common future, depends on our ability to quickly make other arrangements. We can view this as a personal challenge, or we can take the Hemingway out. The choice is ours.
For individuals interested in making other arrangements, it's time to start acquiring myriad requisite skills. It is far too late to save civilization for 300 million Americans, much less the rest of the planet's citizens, but we can take joy in a purpose-filled, intimate life.
It's time to push away from the shore, to let the winds of change catch the sails of our leaky boat.
It's time to trust in ourselves, our neighbors and the Earth that sustains us all.
Painful though it might be, it's time to abandon the cruise ship of empire in exchange for a lifeboat.
Guy R. McPherson is a professor of conservation biology at the University of Arizona. |
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| Get Paid to Blog |
[Mar. 21st, 2008|12:50 pm] |
This site will pay you on referals and how much activity revolves around your blog;
http://r.yuwie.com/grautr |
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| The Great Unwind has begun, Citigroup warns |
[Mar. 20th, 2008|10:42 am] |
Avoid leveraged companies, countries and consumers, bank's strategists say
By Alistair Barr, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- The Great Unwind has begun, Citigroup Inc. strategists warned on Wednesday. As markets and economies de-leverage across the globe, investors should avoid companies and countries that have grown to rely too much on borrowed money, they said. That means favoring public-equity markets over hedge funds, private-equity and real estate, while leaning toward emerging market countries and away from developed nations like the U.S., the bank's global equity strategy team advised. Within equity markets, the financial-services should be avoided because it's still over-leveraged, while other companies have stronger balance sheets, the strategists said. "Steady growth, low inflation and rock-bottom interest rates encouraged economic and financial participants across the world economy to gear up over the past few years," Robert Buckland and his colleagues on Citi's global strategy team wrote in a note to clients. "Easy money encouraged many to buy a bigger house, a bigger car or a bigger speculative position." "But now, any behavior that relied upon continued access to easy money is being dramatically reassessed," they added. "Leveraged banks must lend less, leveraged consumers must consume less, leveraged companies must acquire or invest less, and leveraged speculators must speculate less." Financial-services companies are the most vulnerable to this reduction of borrowed money across the globe, they said. During the last credit crisis in 1998, European banks were leveraged 26 to 1. In the early part of this decade, leverage grew to 32 to 1. Now the sector is geared 40 to 1 on average, according to Citi's European bank research team. "The banks have a long way to go," the strategists said. "We would continue to avoid the sector while they are de-leveraging." Other companies are in much better shape, having rebuilt cash from strong earnings since 2003. Emerging market companies have developed particularly strong balance sheets, having learnt hard lessons from the Asian financial crisis a decade ago. However, even though some companies may not have much debt themselves, they may be exposed to over-leveraged customers or highly leveraged investors, Citigroup warned. Automakers, home builders and electronics retailers benefited as customers borrowed money cheaply in recent years to buy cars, houses and flat-screen TVs. That attractive financing is now being withdrawn. "There will be plenty of companies that have strong balance sheets, so may not be most immediately vulnerable to the credit crunch," Citi said. "But they may find that their leveraged customers are vulnerable." The difference, or spread, between interest rates on investment-grade corporate bonds and Treasury bonds has jumped in recent months, even though most companies aren't very leveraged. This widening may be caused by leveraged investors such as hedge funds having to sell good quality assets to meet margin calls, or requests for more cash or collateral. "It is the leverage of the investors who hold these bonds that is now being brutally exposed," Matt King, a Citigroup credit strategist, said. "We are now confronted by a broad bloodbath in the credit markets," Citigroup said. " The most leveraged paper is falling in value because it is leveraged, and now the least leveraged paper is also falling in value because it is owned by leveraged investors." Investors should also avoid hedge funds themselves, along with private equity, Citi added. Both types of investment rely at least partly on borrowed money to generate returns. "Private equity returns have been especially strong. Without leverage it will be much harder to meet excessive investor expectations [most surveys suggest 20% annual returns are expected from the asset class]," Citi warned. "Similarly, many hedge funds have generated healthy uncorrelated returns by adopting cautious underlying strategies, but applying significant leverage. Again, that looks unsustainable in the current environment." Leveraged economies, like the U.S., should also be avoided, in favor of emerging market countries, which have reduced borrowing, the bank advised. With less capital sloshing around the world, and the dollar falling, the U.S. may have to compete more to finance its deficits. "The U.S. shows up as the world's greatest consumer of external capital," Citi noted. So it "has the most to lose as this capital becomes less freely available." Alistair Barr is a reporter for MarketWatch in San Francisco.
(Citigroup is already in trouble and this article, although honest, is just shooting themselves in the foot.) |
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| My Container Garden |
[Mar. 10th, 2008|12:07 pm] |
Heres a few pictures from last year for the people at the LATOC forum.

This is a typical container that I have constructed using an old transport pallet as a base. It is lined with farmers plastic but you could probably use any plastic bags if you can stick them together somehow to make a sheet big enough. This container holds 12 tomato plants.

The large container has a new rasberry cutting growing at the back and 12 strawberry plants growing at the front. The other pots hold blueberries, red currants and peppers.

In the container I grew 2 pumpkins and 2 butternuts. It was a bad idea because the butternuts were swamped by the pumpkins. In fact the pumpkins also swamped the nearby potatoes that I grew using the stacked tyre meothod. This year the pumpkins will grow seperatly. |
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| Nina 1 Year |
[Mar. 7th, 2008|11:24 pm] |
Nina is mostly a happy girl although she is often sick with whatever lurgies Sil has brought back from School. She has got to the stage now where she will watch what you are doing and try to help picking things up, putting things away, breaking sticks etc. She also now tries to join in conversations with her baby speech and whatever it is she is trying to say mostly is some serious buisness. She is a thinker much more than Sil and Francien summed up the differences in their personalities well.
Sil thinks;
'I must get there'
Nina thinks;
'How can I get there?'
She quite often gets so excited she squeels so she has earned the nickname Squeekie. |
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| 5 Ideas for Stressful Living |
[Mar. 4th, 2008|01:12 am] |
"Most people look almost exclusively to external things and circumstances for their satisfaction, instead of looking within. And apart from being an important factor in the perpetuation of stress, it is also what mainly drives the mechanics of western society. It’s the reason why people spend most of their time working for the purpose of accumulating more things, and then their free time on trying hard to extract as much satisfaction as possible from these things in order to justify the means of attaining them."
http://everydaywonderland.com/articles/5-ideas-for-stressful-living |
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| Never a Truer Word Said |
[Feb. 20th, 2008|12:13 am] |
The elites have, with their market deregulation and financial engineering, bred an enormous Godzilla like monster which, having eaten its fill, has bust out of it pen and is on the rampage, and it is actually rather amusing to watch its former masters running after it in a futile effort to regain control, whilst at the same time trying to fool the world at large that they still have any semblance of control. The article also overlooks the fact that the same Plutocratic elites control both the Democratic and Republican parties - the election is nothing but a pantomime performed to maintain the illusion of democracy for the masses - every single second you spend watching electioneering in the US is a second of your life wasted.
Clive Maund |
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| Increasing Numbers of Oil Experts are Forecasting Impending Peak Production Plateau |
[Feb. 18th, 2008|11:47 am] |
Matt Simmons’ presentation to the Minnesota House of State Representatives, February 4, 2008, shows the current production plateau on slide 29, with a forecast of 69 mbd crude oil and lease condensate by 2012. On January 31, 2008, Kang Wu and Fereidun Fesharaki, of the East-West Center, released a book titled "Asia's Energy Future: Regional Dynamics and Global Impliciations" which stated that global oil production might increase to 100 or perhaps even 105 mbd somewhere between 2015 and 2020. Jeff Rubin and Peter Buchanan, CIBC World Markets, wrote a report, dated January 10, 2008, which forecasts a peak production plateau of just over 88 mbd from 2011 to 2012. On January 22, 2008, Jeroen van der Veer, CEO of Shell, in an email to all Shell employees, acknowledged the reality of peak plateau when he said that “after 2015 supplies of easy-to-access oil and gas will no longer keep up with demand”. In a similar acknowledgement in November 2007, the CEO of Total, Christophe de Margerie, and the CEO of ConocoPhillips, James Mulva, both stated that supply would not exceed 100 mbd. Colin Campbell, in his November 2007 newsletter also stated the possibility of a peak plateau now, altering his original forecast of a depletion based “Peak in 2010 at 87.3 Mb/d that becomes 90 Mb/d with refinery gain. A depletion-based Peak may not of course be reached if high prices hold down demand, delivering more of a plateau than a peak”.
On October 30, 2007, Shokri Ganem, Libya's National Oil Corp Chairman, said that supply may not exceed 100 mbd and later, in January 2008, he said that OPEC can do little and that most OPEC countries are producing at capacity. Sadad Al-Husseini, former Saudi Aramco exploration and production head, presented this production forecast at the Oil & Money October 2007 conference which showed a production plateau of crude oil, condensate and natural gas liquids extending from 2009 to 2012 at 83 mbd, followed by a decline. Dr. Werner Zittel and Jorg Schindler, Energy Watch Group, wrote a report, dated October, 2007, which forecasts a historic peak of 81 mbd in 2006 of crude oil, condensate and natural gas liquids. On October 8, 2007, Jim Buckee, retired CEO of Talisman Energy, said that the world is at peak production or close to it. Finally, Chris Skrebowski, editor UK Petroleum Review, said in October 2007, that world total liquids production will reach a peak plateau of 92 mbd during 2010 to 2011 but he adds: “so what my analysis is saying is that we’ve got another 5 to 7 million barrels a day to come if everything works properly”.
Another expert who made great contributions to the awareness of peak oil is Dr. Ali Morteza Samsam-Bakhtiari, a retired director of the National Iranian Oil Co., who regrettably passed away in October 2007. Dr Samsam-Bakhtiari, using his WOCAP model, predicted a 2006 to 2007 peak plateau of 81 to 82 mbd of crude oil, lease condensate and natural gas plant liquids. He also said that “it became clear that the modelling phase of ‘Peak Oil’ had come to an abrupt close and that henceforward ‘Peak Modelling’ should be shelved once and for all”. |
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| Biofuels make climate change worse, scientific study concludes |
[Feb. 13th, 2008|12:12 am] |
JAY DIRECTO/AFP/Getty Images
From Independent.co.uk Web
Change font size: A | A | ABy Steve Connor, Science Editor Friday, 8 February 2008
Growing crops to make biofuels results in vast amounts of carbon dioxide being released into the atmosphere and does nothing to stop climate change or global warming, according to the first thorough scientific audit of a biofuel's carbon budget.
Scientists have produced damning evidence to suggest that biofuels could be one of the biggest environmental con-tricks because they actually make global warming worse by adding to the man-made emissions of carbon dioxide that they are supposed to curb. Two separate studies published in the journal Science show that a range of biofuel crops now being grown to produce "green" alternatives to oil-based fossil fuels release far more carbon dioxide into the air than can be absorbed by the growing plants.
The scientists found that, in the case of some crops, it would take several centuries of growing them to pay off the "carbon debt" caused by their initial cultivation. Those environmental costs do not take into account any extra destruction to the environment, for instance the loss of biodiversity caused by clearing tracts of pristine rainforest.
"All the biofuels we use now cause habitat destruction, either directly or indirectly. Global agriculture is already producing food for six billion people. Producing food-based biofuel, too, will require that still more land be converted to agriculture," said Joe Fargioine of the US Nature Conservancy who was the lead scientist in one of the studies.
The scientists carried out the sort of analysis that has been missing in the rush to grow biofuels, encouraged by policies in the United States and Europe where proponents have been keen to extol biofuels' virtues as a green alternative to the fossil fuels used for transport.
Both studies looked at how much carbon dioxide is released when a piece of land is converted into a biofuel crop. They found that when peat lands in Indonesia are converted into palm-oil plantations, for instance, it would take 423 years to pay off the carbon debt.
The next worse case was when forested land in the Amazon is cut down to convert into soybean fields. The scientists found that it would take 319 years of making biodiesel from the soybeans to pay of the carbon debt caused by chopping down the trees in the first place.
Such conversions of land to grow corn (maize) and sugarcane for biodiesel, or palm oil and soybean for bioethanol, release between 17 and 420 times more carbon than the annual savings from replacing fossil fuels, the scientists calculated.
"This research examines the conversion of land for biofuels and asks the question 'is it worth it?' Does the carbon you lose by converting forests, grasslands and peat lands outweigh the carbon you 'save' by using biofuels instead of fossil fuels?" Dr Fargione said.
"And surprisingly the answer is 'no'. These natural areas store a lot of carbon, so converting them to croplands results in tons of carbon emitted into the atmosphere," he said.
The demand for biofuels is destroying the environment in other ways. American farmers for instance used to rotate between soybean and corn crops but the demand for biofuel has meant that they are growing corn only. As a result, Brazilian farmers are cutting down forests to grow soybean to meet the shortfall in production.
"In finding solutions to climate change, we must ensure that the cure is not worse than the disease," said Jimmie Powell, a member of the scientific team at the Nature Conservancy.
"We cannot afford to ignore the consequences of converting land for biofuels. Doing so means we might unintentionally promote fuel alternatives that are worse than the fossil fuels they are designed to replace. These findings should be incorporated into carbon emission policy going forward," Dr Powell said yesterday.
The European Union is already having second thoughts about its policy aimed at stimulating the production of biofuel. Stavros Dimas, the EU environment commissioner, admitted last month that the EU did not foresee the scale of the environmental problems raised by Europe's target of deriving 10 per cent of its transport fuel from plant material.
Professor John Pickett, chair of the recent study on biofuels commissioned by the Royal Society, said that although biofuels may play an important role in cutting greenhouse gases from transport, it is important to remember that one biofuel is not the same as another.
"The greenhouse gas savings that a biofuel can provide are dependent on how crops are grown and converted and how the fuel is used," Professor Pickett said. "Given that biofuels are already entering global markets, it will be vital to apply carbon certification and sustainability criteria to the assessment of biofuels to promote those that are good for people and the environment. This must happen at an international level so that we do not just transfer any potentially negative effects of these fuels from one place to another."
Professor Stephen Polasky of the University of Minnesota, an author of one of the studies published in Science, said that the incentives currently employed to encourage farmers to grow crops for biofuels do not take into account the carbon budget of the crop.
"We don't have the proper incentives in place because landowners are rewarded for producing palm oil and other products but not rewarded for carbon management. This creates incentives for excessive land clearing and can result in large increases in carbon emissions," Professor Polasky said.
(They are not trying to prevent climate change with bio fuels they are trying to offset peak oil) |
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